Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 167.381811 194.873418 226.987027 267.657659 318.348695 380.196177 4.625402e+02
2025-06-08 127.552205 160.238319 202.555578 262.713456 348.367151 469.806325 6.626313e+02
2025-06-15 110.340822 145.906114 195.331947 271.697376 391.969245 584.365941 9.401232e+02
2025-06-22 92.456856 126.394910 175.815653 256.625391 393.291381 632.290768 1.130257e+03
2025-06-29 82.294736 115.897989 166.943234 254.908494 414.136740 718.295297 1.436205e+03
2025-07-06 74.575836 107.737609 159.990226 254.320611 435.962146 813.074674 1.820866e+03
2025-07-13 71.671822 106.505043 163.686716 272.553991 498.012884 1016.319629 2.644299e+03
2025-07-20 69.460046 105.985581 168.320951 293.286055 571.629655 1283.433386 3.964653e+03
2025-07-27 65.149385 101.365084 164.984552 297.618449 610.302784 1482.152718 5.330731e+03
2025-08-03 61.945211 98.242522 163.856969 306.154672 661.862767 1749.927401 7.515338e+03
2025-08-10 58.225002 93.780837 159.569376 306.973107 694.152260 1978.632597 1.006657e+04
2025-08-17 55.580091 90.976505 158.092845 313.792145 745.436712 2314.941508 1.452202e+04
2025-08-24 51.691765 85.879921 152.195573 311.161445 775.378683 2625.542587 2.077066e+04
2025-08-31 47.849758 80.553741 145.292109 305.151180 794.968417 2926.932383 2.965872e+04
2025-09-07 45.879810 78.592477 145.116115 316.079509 875.821683 3642.025776 5.559734e+04
2025-09-14 41.870265 72.232032 134.657414 297.758175 846.879646 3715.648404 6.951426e+04
2025-09-21 39.484457 68.895245 130.450947 295.675159 878.326198 4225.981455 1.168954e+05
2025-09-28 37.434011 66.044946 126.979022 294.962105 915.719960 4857.434070 2.183696e+05
2025-10-05 37.007504 66.475941 131.047936 317.122679 1061.757528 6724.649465 9.808368e+05
2025-10-12 36.693554 67.102386 135.668687 342.429743 1242.779233 9665.221699 1.638737e+07
2025-10-19 35.301303 65.280460 134.102766 347.732446 1331.049345 11977.476285 6.049846e+09
2025-10-26 34.259257 64.126949 134.054142 358.194585 1457.012883 15662.979819 NaN
2025-11-02 32.859707 62.060124 131.428445 359.198646 1531.187736 19054.410526 NaN